
Customer State Intelligence

Description
Customers don't churn overnight — they move through states: active, drifting, dormant, returning. Customer State Intelligence uses Hidden Markov Models based in machine learning to infer these shifts from behavior and assign probabilities for where each customer is now — and what state they're likely to move into next.
Using your first-party behavioral data, we identify the hidden lifecycle states that sit beneath surface KPIs and quantify transition risk (and opportunity) over time. The output is simple and operational: clear state definitions, state probabilities, and decision-ready rules your CRM team can use for targeting, timing, and escalation. We build the models, wire them into your CRM/CDP, and keep them calibrated over time.
Typical questions it answers:
Who is quietly drifting — and what's their probability of churn in the next weeks/months?
Which customers are most likely to reactivate with the right nudge (and which aren't)?
Where in the lifecycle are we losing value — and what changes move customers forward?
Which interventions reduce "state decay" without training customers to discounts?
Value
Earlier intervention: detect drift before it shows up as lost revenue
Right action for the state: tailor journeys by readiness and risk, not averages
Smarter resource allocation: focus effort where it can still change outcomes
A repeatable operating rhythm: monitor state movements and improve policy over time
Applied in
• Non-contractual business models (B2C & B2B)
• Contractual business models (B2C & B2B)
Process


